Global Weather Hazards Summary: July 03 to July 09, 2025

• ENSO-neutral conditions observed globally suggest some stability.
• Abnormal dryness reported in central Africa and eastern Central Asia.
• Eastern Nigeria and parts of Cameroon face severe dryness concerns.
• Flooding continues in parts of Nigeria and Kinshasa in the DRC.
• Hot conditions are expected in western Sahara and northern Mali.

Impact of ENSO-Neutral Conditions on Global Weather

Global weather patterns indicate a significant presence of ENSO-neutral conditions globally, suggesting a temporary stabilizing effect on weather. However, this stability is juxtaposed against abnormal dryness observed in several regions in Africa. Central Africa, eastern Central Asia, western Yemen, and northern Hispaniola are notably affected by these dry conditions, which have been exacerbated since the beginning of July.

Conditions in Eastern and Western Africa

Diving deeper into Africa, the Gulf of Guinea is grappling with persistent dryness particularly in its western and eastern sectors. Specifically, eastern Nigeria, northern Cameroon, and southern Chad report critical dryness levels that could impact agricultural activities. Meanwhile, inundation issues continue in the Sudd wetlands of northern South Sudan, which struggle with flooding, compromising local ecosystems and livelihoods.

Flooding Risks and Current Predictions

Flooding is a serious concern for countries like Nigeria, where heavy rainfall has aggravated the situation in both southwest Nigeria and Kinshasa, DRC. The overflow of the Omo Gibe River has also led to flooding in districts bordering Lake Turkana, highlighting the interconnectedness of hydrological systems in the region. Areas such as western Guinea-Conakry and northwestern Ethiopia are being monitored for potential flooding, as forecasts predict above-normal rainfall for the coming week, which could worsen existing conditions.

Examination of Dryness and Heat Risks

As we look at a broader picture, regions like Sierra Leone, Liberia, eastern Guinea-Conakry, and southern Mali are experiencing dry spells in West Africa. On the flip side, South Sudan, southern Sudan, northeastern DRC, and northwestern Uganda also are facing dryness, which compounds food security issues. Furthermore, hot conditions are anticipated throughout western Sahara, northern Mauritania, and northern Mali, thus amplifying the concerns related to agricultural productivity as the extreme heat continues into the week ahead.

The global weather hazards summary highlights a concerning trend of dryness across several regions in Africa while also pointing out significant flooding issues in others. While ENSO-neutral conditions seem to stabilize, abnormal weather patterns like rainfall variability and extended dry spells are risking agriculture and ecological balance. Observers will need to stay vigilant on how these conditions develop over the next week, especially in light of potential flooding risks.