Increasing Tropical Cyclone Potential Near Australia This Week

The Madden-Julian Oscillation will enhance tropical cyclone risk near Australia this week, driven by monsoonal winds bringing moisture into the tropics. Significant rainfall is expected in northern Queensland, Northern Territory, and northern WA. Two low pressure areas are being monitored for potential cyclone development, advising residents to stay updated on weather warnings.

A notable increase in tropical cyclone activity potential near Australia is anticipated this week, primarily due to the influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). A surge of monsoonal winds crossing the Maritime Continent will introduce moisture-laden air into the region. This convergence of factors is expected to elevate rainfall in northern Australia, subsequently enhancing the likelihood of tropical cyclone formation.

Forecast models suggest heavy rainfall will commence in northern Queensland this week, with additional rain spreading to parts of the Northern Territory and northern Western Australia later. Specific forecasts indicate significant accumulated rainfall across northern Australia over the next seven days, culminating on March 24, 2025.

Meteorologists at DTN APAC are currently monitoring two areas of low pressure that may develop into tropical cyclones northwest of Australia later this week. One low pressure area is forming near the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and is projected to have a moderate chance of intensifying into a tropical cyclone on Thursday, while staying clear of the Australian mainland.

In contrast, another low pressure system is expected to emerge to the northwest of the Pilbara coast in Western Australia by Friday, with a lower probability of cyclone development in the next week. Nevertheless, this system may still pose potential impacts in northern WA as the week progresses.

Residents in northern Australia are advised to stay updated on weather conditions and flood warnings, particularly those in northern WA, who should remain vigilant regarding tropical cyclone forecasts and advisories in the days ahead.

This week, the potential for tropical cyclone development near Australia is heightened due to the convergence of monsoonal winds and the MJO. The anticipated rainfall will primarily affect northern Queensland, but other regions will also experience increased precipitation. Vigilance toward weather updates is essential for residents, particularly in northern WA, as meteorologists monitor developing low pressure systems that could pose threats later this week.

Original Source: apac.dtn.com