Who Will Govern Gaza After the War?

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This article explores the postwar governance proposals for Gaza from Donald Trump, Yair Lapid, and Egypt, focusing on their respective visions and the challenges each faces, including the necessity of a stable cease-fire and the influence of Hamas.

The major question surrounding Gaza’s governance after the war includes proposals from U.S. President Donald Trump, Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid, and Egypt. Their plans aim to establish a framework for postwar governance that can support a lasting cease-fire and a peaceful resolution in the region. Each approach presents distinct visions, yet they share common challenges and concerns.

Trump’s proposal advocates for the removal of all Palestinians from Gaza, resettling them in Jordan and Egypt, and suggests that the U.S. would assume administrative control and oversee reconstruction efforts. However, his plan has faced significant opposition from Palestinian leaders and Arab allies, raising concerns over potential violations of international laws and undermining prospects for Palestinian statehood.

Lapid’s initiative, referred to as the “Egyptian solution,” envisions Egypt managing Gaza’s internal affairs for a limited period, with international support for rebuilding efforts. While this plan allows for Palestinian participation, it lacks Egypt’s approval, which undermines its viability. Moreover, it does not mandate the disarmament of militant groups, an essential factor for many stakeholders.

Egypt’s proposal, which has received endorsement from Arab nations, outlines a comprehensive reconstruction plan that emphasizes immediate debris removal, housing development, and infrastructure projects, hoping to establish a governance body led by independent technocrats. Despite international support, it encounters skepticism from Israel and the U.S., particularly regarding Hamas’s continued influence.

A consistent theme among all proposals is the urgent need for a stable cease-fire. Currently, the cease-fire situation is precarious, with fears of renewed violence jeopardizing all postwar plans. Competing interests from various factions complicate the outlook for Gaza’s governance, as Hamas retains a substantial degree of control that poses significant roadblocks to reconstruction.

Furthermore, overlapping issues, including escalating conflicts in the West Bank and the U.S. administration’s shifting stance on other geopolitical matters, contribute to the uncertainty surrounding Gaza’s future. In conclusion, the aftermath of the war and the governance of Gaza hinge on diplomatic negotiations that embrace diverse stakeholders’ interests, recognizing deep-rooted historical complexities and the urgent need for humanitarian considerations.

The discussions surrounding governance in Gaza post-war are dominated by the competing proposals from Trump, Lapid, and Egypt. Each plan offers different visions but shares significant hurdles, particularly the necessity of a sustained cease-fire. The efficacy of any proposed governance structure is contingent upon addressing the dominant influence of Hamas, along with the broader geopolitical dynamics that shape the region’s future. Unless a cooperative framework is established that unites these interests, prospects for lasting peace remain dim.

Original Source: foreignpolicy.com

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