Cameroon: Paul Biya’s Potential Eighth Term and Its Implications

As the 2025 elections approach, 91-year-old Paul Biya is anticipated to run for an eighth term, continuing his lengthy rule in Cameroon. Concerns regarding his health and ability to govern have been raised, especially amidst ongoing civil unrest and economic challenges. The fragmented opposition fails to offer clear alternatives, while internal coalition support remains tenuous, setting the stage for another uncertain political future under Biya’s leadership.

As Cameroon approaches the polls later this year, President Paul Biya, aged 91, is expected to seek an eighth consecutive term, potentially extending his reign as Africa’s longest-serving leader. Dr. John Akpo, a political commentator, notes that Biya’s party members are already advocating for his candidacy, despite concerns over his health. Meanwhile, party member Elvis Ngolle Ngolle emphasizes preparations for the upcoming elections, dismissing discussions of a transition as premature.
Biya has governed Cameroon for over 42 years, and should he win reelection, he would be 99 years old by the next election in 2032. His leadership has garnered some support from opposition parties, although Akpo expresses skepticism regarding their motives, suggesting they are merely extensions of the ruling party designed to undermine genuine opposition.
Despite Biya’s efforts in establishing a multi-party democracy, Cameroon has experienced significant turmoil, particularly due to a civil war driven by Anglophone separatists. Opposition lawyer Tamfu Richard claims that Biya’s age has adversely affected his ability to address these escalating crises. Critics argue that instead of pursuing constructive dialogue, Biya has suppressed dissent, illustrated by the imprisonment of peaceful protesters like Maurice Kamto.
The ruling Cameroon People’s Democratic Movement (CPDM) relies on coalition support to maintain parliamentary dominance, yet backing for allied parties has diminished significantly. While Maurice Kamto is viewed as a potential successor, Biya’s son, Franck Biya, is also politically active and may be positioned to inherit his father’s legacy.
Recent remarks by Catholic bishops in Cameroon have stirred controversy, as some called for improved living conditions and a shift in leadership. The church wields substantial influence over the largely Catholic populace, and public commentary from church leaders can sway political sentiment. However, concerns arose about misinterpretations of their intentions regarding calls for Biya’s resignation.
Economically, Cameroon has shown signs of revival, but its growth rate slowed to 3.3% in 2023, attributed to rising inflation and internal conflicts. Despite a slight resurgence in 2024, poverty levels remain troubling, with 23% of the population living below the extreme poverty line. Corruption remains a pressing issue within the nation, adversely affecting public services and living conditions.
Cameroon’s infrastructure and connectivity issues pose significant challenges to sustainable growth. Analysts emphasize the necessity of addressing such structural weaknesses, yet doubts persist regarding the effectiveness of Biya’s potential continued presidency. The fragmented opposition has failed to present viable alternatives, and some citizens appear to prefer stability, complicating the political landscape. Lawyer Michele Ndoki highlights the critical question of whether Biya is capable of fulfilling presidential responsibilities, asserting the opposition’s stance against his continued rule.

The article discusses the political landscape of Cameroon as President Paul Biya, aged 91, is likely to run for re-election, extending his tenure as Africa’s longest-serving leader. It explores the dynamics within the ruling party, the civil unrest stemming from separatist movements, the influence of the Catholic Church, and ongoing economic challenges. The piece also highlights the fragmented nature of the opposition, questioning the absence of viable alternatives to Biya and the implications for the nation’s governance moving forward.

In summary, as Cameroonians brace for the forthcoming elections, President Paul Biya’s candidacy underscores a complex political scenario marked by extensive governance experience but accompanied by concerns over age, declining political support, and societal divisions. The ruling party’s dependence on coalition partners and the opposition’s lack of unity further complicate the country’s path to sustainable governance and addressing pressing socio-economic issues. The ongoing crisis in governance, transparency, and civic freedoms raises critical questions about Cameroon’s future under another potential Biya term.

Original Source: www.dw.com