Storm Tracker Update: NHC Monitors Two Systems in the Atlantic Amid Decreased Threat from Invest 94L

The National Hurricane Center has reduced the likelihood of Invest 94L developing into a tropical depression to 30 percent. They are also tracking another system in the Caribbean Sea, offering a 20 percent chance of development, which could cause heavy rainfall in Central America and southern Mexico over the weekend.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reported a significant decrease in the likelihood of developing a tropical depression in the Atlantic Ocean. As of Thursday, the NHC is monitoring two systems in the Atlantic basin, one of which is identified as Invest 94L. Initially, forecasts suggested that Invest 94L would evolve into a tropical depression, but the situation has since changed. According to the latest advisory from the NHC, the atmospheric conditions are now described as “only marginally conducive for slow development” as the system progresses west to west-northwest, nearing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, and continuing towards the Greater Antilles over the weekend. Current projections indicate a 30 percent probability of the system developing into a tropical cyclone over the next week. In addition to Invest 94L, the NHC is also observing a second system that is generating showers and thunderstorms in the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Forecasters believe that with some “gradual development” possible in the coming days, this system may remain over water as it moves northwestward towards Central America, albeit with only a 20 percent chance of formation within the next seven days. Nonetheless, residents of Central America and southern Mexico should anticipate potential “locally heavy rainfall” late this week and into the weekend.

The article discusses the current status of two weather systems monitored by the National Hurricane Center in the Atlantic Region, particularly focusing on Invest 94L. These systems are significant in meteorological terms, as they could potentially develop into tropical storms or depressions depending on atmospheric conditions. The article illustrates the complexities and uncertainties involved in weather forecasting, especially concerning the effects of environmental conditions on tropical cyclone formation.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center has downgraded the potential for Invest 94L to develop into a tropical depression, now estimating a 30 percent chance for formation within the next week. Additionally, another system in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is being monitored, which may lead to heavy rainfall across Central America and southern Mexico, despite a low chance of development.

Original Source: www.usatoday.com